{"id":8963,"date":"2019-03-08T18:40:00","date_gmt":"2019-03-08T16:40:00","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2020-06-01T15:44:14","modified_gmt":"2020-06-01T12:44:14","slug":"total-fertility-rate","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jerusaleminstitute.org.il\/en\/blog\/total-fertility-rate\/","title":{"rendered":"Total Fertility Rate"},"content":{"rendered":"<div dir=\"LTR\" align=\"left\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Most of the variables we work with are calculated for both men and women, but there is one variable that is only measured for women. <\/span><\/span><\/span><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">In honor of International Women&#8217;s Day, this column examines the topic of fertility.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div dir=\"LTR\" align=\"left\">\u00a0<\/div>\n<div dir=\"LTR\" align=\"left\">\n<span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">About a decade ago, in 2007, the Total Fertility Rate (TFR) in Jerusalem was 3.96 children per woman. <\/span><\/span><\/span><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">The Total Fertility Rate is the number of children a woman is expected to give birth to in her lifetime. <\/span><\/span><\/span><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">The rate in the entire country at the time was 2.90. <\/span><\/span><\/span><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">That same year the rate among Arab women in both Israel (3.62) and in Jerusalem (4.07) was higher than that of Jewish women (2.71 and 3.96, respectively). <\/span><\/span><\/span><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">The data are taken from the Jerusalem Statistical Yearbook, slated to be published on Jerusalem Day in about three months.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div dir=\"LTR\" align=\"left\">\u00a0<\/div>\n<div dir=\"LTR\" align=\"left\">\n<span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">A dramatic decrease was recorded over the past ten years in the fertility rate of Arab women, both in the country as a whole and in Jerusalem, alongside a rise in the fertility rates of Jewish women in Israel and in Jerusalem, mainly during the years 2007 -2012. <\/span><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Today, the total fertility rate in Israel among Jewish and Arab women is almost identical (3.05 among Jewish women and 3.16 among Arab women), while in Jerusalem the Arab women, on average, have fewer children (3.33) than the Jewish women do ( 4.27).<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div dir=\"LTR\" align=\"left\">\u00a0<\/div>\n<div dir=\"LTR\" align=\"left\">\n<span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">What is the reason for the steep decline in the fertility rates of Arab women? <\/span><\/span><\/span><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">It may be that the significant factor is a rise in the level of education and in modernization, and it is possible that the trend is related to the low fertility rates in neighboring Arab countries, such as Jordan (3.38), Egypt (3.27) Saudi Arabia (2.53), and Lebanon (1.72 children per woman). <\/span><\/span><\/span><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">The data are from <\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/data.worldbank.org\/indicator\/SP.DYN.TFRT.IN\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">The World Bank<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"> .<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div dir=\"LTR\" align=\"left\">\u00a0<\/div>\n<div dir=\"LTR\" align=\"left\">\n<span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">A change in the total fertility rate is the first indicator of a change in the natural growth rate and population growth. <\/span><\/span><\/span><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Since the process has been underway for more than a decade, we are already seeing this expressed in the younger cohort sizes in the Jewish population, which are growing quickly from year to year, while among the Arab population these cohorts remain similar in size from year to year. <\/span><\/span><\/span><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">The implications may span many areas, from health infrastructure to housing shortage.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div dir=\"LTR\" align=\"left\">\u00a0<\/div>\n<div dir=\"LTR\" align=\"left\">\n<span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Translated by Gilah Kahn-Hoffmann<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div dir=\"LTR\">\u00a0<\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Most of the variables we work with are calculated for both men and women, but there is one variable that is only measured for women. In honor of International Women&#8217;s Day, this column examines the topic of fertility. \u00a0 About a decade ago, in 2007, the Total Fertility Rate (TFR) in Jerusalem was 3.96 children&hellip;<\/p>\n<div class=\"read-more-container\"><a href=\"https:\/\/jerusaleminstitute.org.il\/en\/blog\/total-fertility-rate\/\" class=\"button is-primary is-small is-round has-round-arrow\">Continue reading<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":9178,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jerusaleminstitute.org.il\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8963"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jerusaleminstitute.org.il\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jerusaleminstitute.org.il\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jerusaleminstitute.org.il\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jerusaleminstitute.org.il\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8963"}],"version-history":[{"count":9,"href":"https:\/\/jerusaleminstitute.org.il\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8963\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9955,"href":"https:\/\/jerusaleminstitute.org.il\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8963\/revisions\/9955"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jerusaleminstitute.org.il\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/9178"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jerusaleminstitute.org.il\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8963"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jerusaleminstitute.org.il\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8963"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}